Patient-rated satisfaction and improvement following hip and knee replacements: Development of prediction models.

RATIONALE: Effective preoperative assessments of determinants of health status and function may improve postoperative outcomes. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: We developed risk scores of preoperative patient factors and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) as predictors of patient-rated satisfaction and improvement following hip and knee replacements. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Prospectively collected National Health Service and independent sector patient data (n = 30,457), including patients' self-reported demographics, comorbidities, PROMs (Oxford Hip/Knee score (OHS/OKS) and European Quality of Life (EQ5D index and health-scale), were analysed. Outcomes were defined as patient-reported satisfaction and improvement following surgery at 7-month follow-up. Univariable and multivariable-adjusted logistic regressions were undertaken to build prediction models; model discrimination was evaluated with the concordance index (c-index) and nomograms were developed to allow the estimation of probabilities. RESULTS: Of the 14,651 subjects with responses for satisfaction following hip replacements 564 (3.8%) reported dissatisfaction, and 1433 (9.2%) of the 15,560 following knee replacement reported dissatisfaction. A total of 14,662 had responses for perceived improvement following hip replacement (lack of improvement in 391; 2.7%) and 15,588 following knee replacement (lack of improvements in 1092; 7.0%). Patients reporting poor outcomes had worse preoperative PROMs. Several factors, including age, gender, patient comorbidities and EQ5D, were included in the final prediction models: C-indices of these models were 0.613 and 0.618 for dissatisfaction and lack of improvement, respectively, for hip replacement and 0.614 and 0.598, respectively, for knee replacement. CONCLUSIONS: Using easily accessible preoperative patient factors, including PROMs, we developed models which may help predict dissatisfaction and lack of improvement following hip and knee replacements and facilitate risk stratification and decision-making processes.

Increased blood pressure variability following acute stroke is associated with poor long-term outcomes: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Blood pressure variability (BPV) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) may be of prognostic significance. However, methodological heterogeneity of studies may contribute to inconsistent findings, and study findings are therefore not readily comparable. We investigated study methodologies which have assessed the long-term outcomes (≥7 days) of BPV post-AIS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The literature search was conducted in OVID Medline, Embase, The Cochrane Library, and Web of Science following a predefined search strategy. Two reviewers independently assessed study eligibility and quality, and source data were extracted. RESULTS: Of 2044 studies identified, 19 observational studies and one case-control study were included; seven studies were additionally included. Twenty-two studies obtained good risk of bias ratings. Key findings were methodological heterogeneity and significant variability in the reporting of key criteria. Twenty-four studies reported intervals between blood pressure assessments; although 19 studies reported the monitoring device used, only eight studies reported the number of blood pressure measurements taken per visit. The majority measured supine blood pressure (n=13), and eight studies reported whether this was in the hemiparetic or unaffected arm. Sixteen studies defined BPV using SD and seven studies used only a single blood pressure parameter to quantify BPV. Increased BPV was associated with poorer neurological and functional outcomes, and death (n=23); other unfavorable outcomes included irregularly shaped lacunar infarcts, and impaired cognition (n=3). CONCLUSION: Methodological heterogeneity is frequently observed in studies, primarily because of incomplete study reporting. However, increased BPV is associated with adverse long-term outcomes. There is a need for prospective studies investigating BPV post-AIS to report full methodologies according to standardized criteria.